{"id":1202,"date":"2023-09-26T16:53:48","date_gmt":"2023-09-26T14:53:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/?page_id=1202"},"modified":"2023-09-26T22:37:27","modified_gmt":"2023-09-26T20:37:27","slug":"globalizace-a-rust-dluhy","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/en\/globalizace-a-rust-dluhy\/","title":{"rendered":"Articles on current events (Czech language)"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><div data-vc-full-width=\"true\" data-vc-full-width-init=\"false\" data-vc-stretch-content=\"true\" class=\"vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid vc_custom_1695738801438 vc_row-o-full-height vc_row-o-columns-stretch vc_row-o-equal-height vc_row-flex\"><div class=\"wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-12\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\" >\n\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<h2><strong>Drsn\u00e1 pravda o globalizaci a budoucnosti \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed obchodn\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bna a globalizace m\u011bly v\u00a0posledn\u00edch dek\u00e1d\u00e1ch sv\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bze a pora\u017een\u00e9. A to bez ohledu na to, co \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 pou\u010dky. Realita je toti\u017e mnohem komplikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a voln\u00fd obchod je sp\u00ed\u0161e teoretick\u00fdm konceptem s\u00a0velmi siln\u00fdmi p\u0159edpoklady, kter\u00e9 bohu\u017eel nejsou spln\u011bny. Upad\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch z\u00e1kladen ve vysp\u011bl\u00fdch zem\u00edch se p\u0159\u00edmo dot\u00fdk\u00e1 \u010ceska. V\u00a0posledn\u00edch dvou dek\u00e1d\u00e1ch pozorujeme nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed probl\u00e9my. St\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st r\u016fstu \u017eivotn\u011b \u00farovn\u011b se uskute\u010d\u0148ovala na dluh, nikoliv v\u00a0reakci na dlouhodob\u00fd r\u016fst produktivity a konkurenceschopnosti. S ka\u017ed\u00fdm rokem n\u00e1m intenzivn\u011bji hroz\u00ed dek\u00e1dy stagnace a \u00fapadku.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Devades\u00e1t\u00e1 l\u00e9ta minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed jsou v\u00a0\u010cesku ji\u017e nerozlu\u010dn\u011b spjata s\u00a0ekonomickou transformac\u00ed a souvisej\u00edc\u00ed privatizac\u00ed. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b, nem\u011bli bychom zapom\u00ednat ani na vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kter\u00e9 n\u00e1s jako malou otev\u0159enou ekonomiku siln\u011b ovliv\u0148uje. Posledn\u00ed dek\u00e1da minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed se \u010dasto pokl\u00e1d\u00e1 za velmi \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, kdy se v\u00fdznamn\u011b rozv\u00edjely technologie a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed obchod. Zastavme se u druh\u00e9 zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 oblasti, kter\u00e1 byla spojena s\u00a0tzv. globalizac\u00ed. Tento fenom\u00e9n p\u0159isp\u011bl k\u00a0rozvoji ekonomik cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta, nejv\u00edce se v\u0161ak jednalo o rostouc\u00ed trhy v\u00a0Asii, zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b. Pro vysp\u011bl\u00e9 ekonomiky v\u00a0USA a Evrop\u011b byla situace mnohem komplikovan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomov\u00e9 v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee voln\u00fd mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed obchod obohacuje v\u0161echny z\u00fa\u010dastn\u011bn\u00e9 zem\u011b. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b v\u00a0podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch st\u00e1tn\u00edch z\u00e1sah\u016f, dotac\u00ed, nekal\u00fdch praktik souvisej\u00edc\u00edch s\u00a0kop\u00edrov\u00e1n\u00edm vysp\u011bl\u00fdch technologi\u00ed a p\u0159etrv\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch nerovnov\u00e1h jsou tyto p\u0159\u00ednosy velmi nerovnom\u011brn\u00e9. Rovn\u011b\u017e mus\u00edme br\u00e1t v\u00a0potaz geopolitick\u00e9 a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed aspekty. Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed obchod je historicky spojen s\u00a0v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdmi spory a snahami o dominanci jedn\u00e9 velmoci nad druhou. Od devades\u00e1t\u00fdch let bylo vysp\u011bl\u00fdm zem\u00edm USA a Evropsk\u00e9 unie umo\u017en\u011bno \u017e\u00edt si v\u00fdrazn\u011b nad jejich pom\u011bry, jeliko\u017e st\u00e1le v\u00edce a v\u00edce v\u00fdrobk\u016f se dov\u00e1\u017eelo levn\u011b z\u00a0\u010c\u00edny.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Data Sv\u011btov\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed organizace ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00a0roce 1990 se Asie pod\u00edlela na sv\u011btov\u00fdch v\u00fdvozech zbo\u017e\u00ed z\u00a0necel\u00fdch 23\u00a0% a v\u00a0roce 2022 to bylo ji\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 37\u00a0%. Nejv\u00edce akcelerovala \u010c\u00edna, kter\u00e9 se poda\u0159ilo zv\u00fd\u0161it sv\u016fj celosv\u011btov\u00fd pod\u00edl v\u00fdvozu zbo\u017e\u00ed z\u00a0p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 2\u00a0% na dne\u0161n\u00edch v\u00edce ne\u017e 14\u00a0%. Tyto pod\u00edly byly zv\u00fd\u0161eny zejm\u00e9na na \u00fakor USA, kter\u00e9 poklesly z\u00a011-12 % na dne\u0161n\u00edch p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 8\u00a0% a ekonomik Evropsk\u00e9 unie, jejich\u017e hlavn\u00ed velmoc N\u011bmecko poklesla z\u00a012\u00a0% na necel\u00fdch 7\u00a0% v\u00a0roce 2022. Mimochodem, Rusko dlouhodob\u011b stagnuje na hodnot\u00e1ch kolem 2\u00a0%.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>N\u011bmecko se upad\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9 pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny dok\u00e1zalo dlouho br\u00e1nit, z\u00a0\u010deho\u017e z\u00edsk\u00e1valo i \u010cesko jako\u017eto subdodavatel, kter\u00fd dnes vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed do N\u011bmecka 30 % sv\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed produkce. V\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b jsou v\u0161ak trendy ne\u00faprosn\u00e9, zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0souvislosti s nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00edmi regulacemi a iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed zelenou politikou Evropsk\u00e9 unie. V\u00a0roce 2022 vykazovala \u010cR t\u0159et\u00ed nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed pod\u00edl pr\u016fmyslu v\u00a0ekonomice v\u00a0cel\u00e9 EU s\u00a027\u00a0%. V\u00edce m\u011blo pouze Polsko a Irsko. Av\u0161ak je\u0161t\u011b v\u00a0roce 2000 zauj\u00edmala \u010cR prvn\u00ed pozici s\u00a0t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 31\u00a0%. Za relativn\u011b kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 obdob\u00ed dvou dek\u00e1d pozorujeme st\u00e1le viditeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9my.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u010casto se rovn\u011b\u017e setk\u00e1v\u00e1me s\u00a0tvrzen\u00edm, \u017ee vysp\u011bl\u00e9 ekonomiky se d\u00edky globalizaci mohly v\u00edce p\u0159eorientovat na v\u00fdrobu s\u00a0vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u0159idanou hodnotou a zejm\u00e9na na slu\u017eby. To je ov\u0161em pouze \u010d\u00e1st pravdy. Nepopul\u00e1rn\u00edm faktem je, \u017ee p\u0159eorientov\u00e1n\u00ed vysp\u011bl\u00fdch ekonomik na slu\u017eby bylo z\u00a0nezanedbateln\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zp\u016fsobeno jejich nekonkurenceschopnost\u00ed v\u016f\u010di \u010c\u00edn\u011b a ostatn\u00edm asijsk\u00fdm ekonomik\u00e1m. Tato nekonkurenceschopnost je z\u00a0\u010d\u00e1sti p\u0159irozen\u00e1, av\u0161ak v\u00fdznamn\u011b je ovlivn\u011bna\u00a0p\u0159\u00edli\u0161n\u00fdmi regulacemi, p\u016fsoben\u00edm spole\u010dn\u00e9 m\u011bny euro na jihu euroz\u00f3ny, kr\u00e1tkozrak\u00fdmi expanzivn\u00edmi politikami a souvisej\u00edc\u00edm zadlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Zna\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st dne\u0161n\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho r\u016fstu pramen\u00ed z\u00a0dluh\u016f, nikoliv\u00a0z\u00a0dlouhodob\u00e9ho r\u016fstu konkurenceschopnosti a produktivity. To je bohu\u017eel v\u00a0posledn\u00edch letech p\u0159\u00edpad i \u010ceska, ve kter\u00e9m se zcela spr\u00e1vn\u011b mluv\u00ed o tzv. n\u00e1rokov\u00e9 ekonomice. V\u00a0posledn\u00edch dvou dek\u00e1d\u00e1ch u n\u00e1s narostl ve\u0159ejn\u00fd sektor o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 1,5 bilionu korun v\u00a0dne\u0161n\u00edch cen\u00e1ch. Pokud se u n\u00e1s a v\u00a0Evropsk\u00e9 unii nestane n\u011bco z\u00e1sadn\u00edho, re\u00e1ln\u011b hroz\u00ed, \u017ee n\u00e1s budou \u010dekat desetilet\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 stagnace a poklesu konkurenceschopnosti. Bude se v\u00a0jist\u00e9m ohledu jednat o pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika let.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Upraven\u00e1 verze textu byla publikov\u00e1na v den\u00edku Lidov\u00e9 noviny pod n\u00e1zvem \u201eR\u016fst pramen\u00edc\u00ed z dluh\u016f\u201c, dne 25. \u010dervence 2023.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_row-full-width vc_clearfix\"><\/div><\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Drsn\u00e1 pravda o globalizaci a budoucnosti \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky &nbsp; Nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00ed obchodn\u00ed v\u00fdm\u011bna a globalizace m\u011bly [...]","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1202","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u010cl\u00e1nky k aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmu d\u011bn\u00ed - doc. Ing. Milan Bedn\u00e1\u0159, Ph.D.<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/en\/globalizace-a-rust-dluhy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u010cl\u00e1nky k aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmu d\u011bn\u00ed - doc. Ing. Milan Bedn\u00e1\u0159, Ph.D.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/en\/globalizace-a-rust-dluhy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"doc. Ing. 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