{"id":1205,"date":"2023-09-26T16:55:22","date_gmt":"2023-09-26T14:55:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/?page_id=1205"},"modified":"2023-09-26T22:39:44","modified_gmt":"2023-09-26T20:39:44","slug":"cina-a-deglobalizace","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/en\/cina-a-deglobalizace\/","title":{"rendered":"Articles on current events (Czech language)"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><div data-vc-full-width=\"true\" data-vc-full-width-init=\"false\" data-vc-stretch-content=\"true\" class=\"vc_row wpb_row vc_row-fluid vc_custom_1695738801438 vc_row-o-full-height vc_row-o-columns-stretch vc_row-o-equal-height vc_row-flex\"><div class=\"wpb_column vc_column_container vc_col-sm-12\"><div class=\"vc_column-inner\"><div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t<div class=\"wpb_text_column wpb_content_element\" >\n\t\t<div class=\"wpb_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<h2><strong>\u010c\u00edna dnes je\u0161t\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee dominovat sv\u011btu, p\u0159esto\u017ee Z\u00e1pad tento souboj prohr\u00e1v\u00e1<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Zat\u00edm st\u00e1le v\u0161e nasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dek\u00e1d\u00e1ch bude \u010c\u00edna op\u011bt ekonomickou mocnost\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo jedna. Hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 politika a spole\u010densk\u00e1 situace ve vysp\u011bl\u00fdch zem\u00edch tomu neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b nahr\u00e1vaj\u00ed. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b, \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 ekonomika m\u00e1 i sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed probl\u00e9my a jej\u00ed rychlou ekonomickou dominanci o\u010dek\u00e1vat sp\u00ed\u0161e nelze.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edna byla od konce 70. let minul\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed jedn\u00edm z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edklad\u016f tzv. hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho z\u00e1zraku, kdy dynamika r\u016fstu \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b daleko p\u0159evy\u0161ovala naprostou v\u011bt\u0161inu ostatn\u00edch zem\u00ed sv\u011bta. \u010c\u00edn\u011b se poda\u0159ilo znovuotev\u0159\u00edt svoji ekonomiku a z\u00e1sobovat sv\u011bt v\u00fdrobky, jejich\u017e kvalita se postupn\u011b zvy\u0161ovala. \u010c\u00edna postupn\u011b p\u0159edehnala vysp\u011bl\u00e9 zem\u011b v\u00a0cel\u00e9 \u0159ad\u011b pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00ed. Bylo tomu z d\u016fvodu vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed pracovitosti, ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b ekonomick\u00e9ho rozvoje spojen\u00e9 s\u00a0ni\u017e\u0161\u00edmi mzdami a ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u00ed regulace.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Odpov\u011bd\u00ed vysp\u011bl\u00fdch zem\u00ed je dnes zejm\u00e9na snaha o omezov\u00e1n\u00ed obchodu, av\u0161ak to nen\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou probl\u00e9m\u016f. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomiky jsou dnes tak p\u0159eregulovan\u00e9 a vyd\u00e1vaj\u00ed prost\u0159edky natolik neefektivn\u011b, \u017ee jednodu\u0161e nejsou konkurenceschopn\u00e9. Z\u00e1pad naprosto rezignoval na produktivn\u00ed a odpov\u011bdnou hospod\u00e1\u0159skou politiku a nam\u00edsto toho vych\u00e1z\u00ed vst\u0159\u00edc mnoh\u00fdm z\u00e1jmov\u00fdm skupin\u00e1m, zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0oblasti tzv. zelen\u00e9 politiky. A\u0165 u\u017e se jedn\u00e1 o ceny emisn\u00edch povolenek, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b o n\u00e1siln\u00e9 odstaven\u00ed pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 a automobilov\u00e9 v\u00fdroby v\u00a0r\u00e1mci norem, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad Euro 7. V\u00a0automobilov\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu to pozorujeme nejz\u0159eteln\u011bji. Evropsk\u00e9 automobilky typu Volkswagen disponuj\u00ed ji\u017e \u0159adu desetilet\u00ed znalostmi a postupy, jak nejefektivn\u011bji vyr\u00e1b\u011bt automobily zalo\u017een\u00e9 na spalovac\u00edm motorech v\u00a0co nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed kvalit\u011b. A to v\u00a0takov\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e, \u017ee se tomu mohl rovnat m\u00e1lo kdo. Nam\u00edsto toho, abychom tohoto n\u00e1skoku vyu\u017eili p\u0159i pozvoln\u00e9m p\u0159echodu na elektrick\u00e9 automobily, tak se uz\u00e1ko\u0148uj\u00ed drakonick\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 se to sna\u017e\u00ed usp\u00ed\u0161it. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 automobilky dnes na poli energetick\u00fdch aut za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed sv\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed partnery p\u0159edh\u00e1n\u011bt, a na tamn\u00edm trhu je jim schopna konkurovat pouze americk\u00e1 Tesla. Jedn\u00e1 se pr\u00e1v\u011b i o d\u016fsledek faktu, \u017ee tento segment je v\u00a0komer\u010dn\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku relativn\u011b nov\u00fd a zaveden\u00e9 automobilky v\u00a0n\u011bm nemaj\u00ed vybudovanou dlouholetou v\u00fdhodu.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u010c\u00edna sv\u016fj boj o dominanci v\u0161ak nebude m\u00edt lehk\u00fd a minim\u00e1ln\u011b v\u00a0\u0159\u00e1du n\u011bkolika dal\u0161\u00edch let \u010di desetilet\u00ed nebude nic rychle rozhodnuto. Tato zem\u011b toti\u017e vykazuje \u0159adu ekonomick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f. Dle p\u0159epo\u010dtu parity kupn\u00ed s\u00edly je dnes \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 ekonomika v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e ekonomika Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f americk\u00fdch. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci poukazuj\u00ed na skute\u010dnost, \u017ee \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 HDP by mohlo b\u00fdt nafouknut\u00e9 a\u017e o 60 %. V minulosti byly \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny zalo\u017een\u00e9 na c\u00edlov\u00e1n\u00ed r\u016fstu HDP jednotliv\u00fdch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch region\u016f. Tamn\u00ed obyvatel\u00e9 je byli schopni plnit, av\u0161ak pouze na pap\u00ed\u0159e. \u010c\u00edna je tedy dnes s\u00a0velkou pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed mnohem v\u00edce pozadu, ne\u017e to na prvn\u00ed pohled vypad\u00e1. Tato skute\u010dnost rovn\u011b\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee standardn\u00ed makroekonomick\u00e9 ukazatele, jako nap\u0159\u00edklad pod\u00edl zadlu\u017een\u00ed na hrub\u00e9m dom\u00e1c\u00edm produktu, jsou mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b zaj\u00edmav\u00fd je sou\u010dasn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj ekonomick\u00e9 situace v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b. Tato zem\u011b trp\u00ed v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch ohledech p\u0159esn\u011b opa\u010dn\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my, ne\u017e dnes \u0159e\u0161\u00edme my. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 inflace je velmi n\u00edzk\u00e1, cenov\u00e1 hladina dokonce v\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch obdob\u00edch klesala a do toho zemi su\u017euje relativn\u011b vysok\u00e1 nezam\u011bstnanost mlad\u00fdch osob. \u010c\u00edna se st\u00e1le transformuje a doch\u00e1z\u00ed k\u00a0situac\u00edm, kdy mlad\u00ed vzd\u011blan\u00ed lid\u00e9 necht\u011bj\u00ed pracovat v\u00a0tov\u00e1rn\u00e1ch. \u010c\u00edna tak\u00e9 vykazuje relativn\u011b vysok\u00e9 zadlu\u017een\u00ed. To v\u0161ak nic nem\u011bn\u00ed na tom, \u017ee zpr\u00e1vy o tot\u00e1ln\u00edm kolapsu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomiky jsou naprosto lich\u00e9. Tato situace je toti\u017e mnohem l\u00e9pe \u0159e\u0161iteln\u00e1 ne\u017e dne\u0161n\u00ed stav v\u00a0Evropsk\u00e9 unii.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00a0dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska bude \u010c\u00ednu d\u00e1le tr\u00e1pit \u00fabytek populace zp\u016fsoben\u00fd politikou jednoho d\u00edt\u011bte, co\u017e bude konkurenceschopnost t\u00e9to zem\u011b nabour\u00e1vat. Rovn\u011b\u017e se v\u00a0r\u00e1mci tzv. deglobalizace m\u011bn\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed prost\u0159ed\u00ed, kter\u00e9 pro \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd obchod ji\u017e nebude tak p\u0159\u00edv\u011btiv\u00e9. \u010c\u00edna se bude muset je\u0161t\u011b d\u00e1le transformovat a \u010d\u00e1st popt\u00e1vky ze zahrani\u010d\u00ed nahradit popt\u00e1vkou dom\u00e1c\u00ed. Na povrch budou rovn\u011b\u017e st\u00e1le siln\u011bji probubl\u00e1vat i geopolitick\u00e9 konflikty, zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edstupu k\u00a0Tchaj-wanu a souvisej\u00edc\u00edmi p\u016ftkami s\u00a0USA. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch desetilet\u00edch tedy nelze \u010dekat raketov\u00fd r\u016fst \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, jeho\u017e jsme byli sv\u011bdky v\u00a0minulosti.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Upraven\u00e1 verze textu byla publikov\u00e1na v den\u00edku Lidov\u00e9 noviny pod n\u00e1zvem \u201e\u010c\u00edna sv\u011btu je\u0161t\u011b dominovat nedok\u00e1\u017ee\u201c, dne 21. srpna 2023.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\n\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vc_row-full-width vc_clearfix\"><\/div><\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u010c\u00edna dnes je\u0161t\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee dominovat sv\u011btu, p\u0159esto\u017ee Z\u00e1pad tento souboj prohr\u00e1v\u00e1 &nbsp; Zat\u00edm st\u00e1le v\u0161e [...]","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1205","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u010cl\u00e1nky k aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmu d\u011bn\u00ed - doc. Ing. Milan Bedn\u00e1\u0159, Ph.D.<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/en\/cina-a-deglobalizace\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u010cl\u00e1nky k aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmu d\u011bn\u00ed - doc. Ing. Milan Bedn\u00e1\u0159, Ph.D.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/bednarmilan.cz\/en\/cina-a-deglobalizace\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"doc. Ing. 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